Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.242551 0.273788 0.306927 0.344641 0.386307 0.430869 0.482068
2025-08-17 0.198357 0.240026 0.286859 0.343182 0.408850 0.482759 0.571993
2025-08-24 0.167642 0.215508 0.272051 0.343313 0.430222 0.532235 0.660457
2025-08-31 0.143756 0.195198 0.258744 0.342222 0.448109 0.576986 0.744630
2025-09-07 0.128496 0.183244 0.253610 0.349477 0.475297 0.633272 0.844855
2025-09-14 0.113348 0.169333 0.244031 0.349310 0.491895 0.676077 0.929361
2025-09-21 0.100924 0.157502 0.235669 0.349342 0.507787 0.717793 1.013534
2025-09-28 0.090477 0.147168 0.228109 0.349310 0.522800 0.758246 1.097070
2025-10-05 0.083273 0.140721 0.225250 0.355232 0.545804 0.809953 1.197472
2025-10-12 0.077956 0.136507 0.225098 0.364695 0.573887 0.869454 1.310648
2025-10-19 0.071607 0.129958 0.220743 0.367305 0.591719 0.914795 1.405267
2025-10-26 0.067442 0.126489 0.220733 0.376263 0.619077 0.974567 1.522442
2025-11-02 0.063423 0.123013 0.220619 0.385312 0.647485 1.037800 1.648402
2025-11-09 0.057608 0.115832 0.213874 0.383237 0.658424 1.075360 1.737837
2025-11-16 0.052780 0.109890 0.208651 0.383130 0.672197 1.117469 1.835391
2025-11-23 0.048252 0.104008 0.203002 0.381794 0.683684 1.156239 1.928995
2025-11-30 0.045630 0.101447 0.202887 0.389695 0.710405 1.219495 2.062267
2025-12-07 0.042044 0.096622 0.198311 0.389471 0.723447 1.261429 2.163503
2025-12-14 0.038834 0.092201 0.194086 0.389485 0.736696 1.303947 2.266840
2025-12-21 0.035912 0.088058 0.190022 0.389438 0.749660 1.346256 2.371004
2025-12-28 0.034033 0.085921 0.189596 0.395938 0.774175 1.408239 2.508787
2026-01-04 0.032732 0.084903 0.191244 0.406329 0.805910 1.483187 2.669949
2026-01-11 0.030706 0.082054 0.189022 0.409194 0.824199 1.536035 2.796138